Timeline August, 2000
WNV Positives And Air Neurotoxics
New York City Region


TS2000 June, 2000 July, 2000 August, 2000 September, 2000 October, 2000

1-HrAvg maps can be expanded with a mouse click. "ozSus"=ppm for Susan Wagner HS station monitor, in the middle of Staten Island.

H B M O DateFnd WNV Positive List Haze S T W Ozone8HrAvg (Legend) ozSus Ozone1HrAvg
0 2 2 0 8/1/00 1 crow in SI (Midland Beach) [PR79-822]; 1 crow in SI (na) [PR72-810]; [7/31 and 8/1] 1 mosqP in SI (Tottenville) [PR79-822]; [7/30 and 8/1] 1 mosqP in SI (Westerleigh) [PR79-822] 85 0.15
TS
FG
HZ
78
72
69
4.4
070
0.017

0.037

0 7 0 0 8/2/00 1 Am. Kestrel in Bronx (Pelham Pkwy) [PR85-831]; 1 crow in Bronx (Claremont Pk) [PR79-822]; [Collected on 8/2 and 8/3] 4 sparrow in Brooklyn (Greenwood Cem.) [PR76-816]; 1 crow in Queens (Flushing) [PR101922]. Note: These ozone patterns and WNV consequences are similar to 7/21/00. 95 FG
HZ
88
80
74
7.7
230
0.052

0.102

0 2 0 0 8/3/00 1 crow in Brooklyn (Canarsie) [PR75-815]; [Collected on 8/2 and 8/3] 1 mockingbird in Brooklyn (Greenwood Cem.) [PR76-816] 41 0.56
TS
FG
HZ
83
76
73
7.5
230
0.027

0.043

0 1 0 0 8/4/00 1 crow in Manhattan (Central Pk) [PR79-822] Note: Staten Island Borough Pres. Guy Molinari stated 8/4/00, "Our Helpline unit has fielded... reports of more than 500 dead birds..." [Other boroughs had reported few or no dead birds.] 35 0.02
TS
FG
HZ
81
76
68
4.4
340
na

0.063

1 0 0 0 8/5/00 [ill on 7/31, hospitalized on 8/5] 1 man (age 63) in SI (Willow Brook) [PR74-812] 24 -- 82
74
62
3.4
360
0.033

0.080

2 0 1 0 8/6/00 [ill 8/4, hospitalized 8/6] 1 woman (age 64) in SI (Great Kills) [PR74-812]; [ill on 8/4, hospitalized 8/6] 1 man (age 61) in SI (Woodrow) [PR86-901]; 1 mosqP in Brooklyn (Flatlands) [PR93-909] 34 FG
HZ
77
70
66
8.2
210
0.043

0.070

1 2 27 0 8/7/00
Monday
[na] 1 crow in Manhattan (Central Pk) [PR77-817]; 1 crow in Queens (Whitestone) [PR77-817]; [ill 8/7, encephalitis 8/15] 1 woman (age 87) in Brooklyn (Borough Pk) [PR81-825]; [na] 1 mosqP in Bronx (Hunts Pt); 3 mosqP in Manhattan (Central Pk); 23 mosqP in SI (na) [PR77-817]; Note: Prediction #1 (by email to 5 persons on 8/16/00)==> There will be reports of higher WNV activity for 8/7-8/11. 86 FG
HZ
92
84
75
14.0
250
0.040

0.074

0 7 4 0 8/8/00 ["sprayed subsequent to findings"] 1 Am Kestril in Queens (Neponsit) [PR78-818]; 1 Am Kestril in Queens (Woodside) [PR78-818]; 1 bird in Manhattan (Trinity Cem.) [PR92-907]; ["sprayed subsequent to findings"] 1 bluejay in SI (Dongan Hills) [PR78-818]; 2 bluejays in SI (na) [PR78-818]; 1 crow in SI (Westerleigh) [PR79-822]; 1 house finch in Bronx (Throgs Neck); 3 mosqP in SI (na) [PR78-818]; 1 mosqP in SI (Grasmere) [PR94-912] 69 F1
HZ
90
82
71
8.9
270
0.043

0.075

0 4 1 0 8/9/00 1 black skimmer gull in Queens (Breezy Pt.) [PR84-830]; 1 crow in Brooklyn (Ft. Hamilton) [PR79-822]; 1 crow in Manhattan (Inwood Hill Pk) [PR79-822]; 1 house sparrow in Bronx (Orch Beach/Pelham) [PR79-822]; 1 mosqP in Bronx (Hunts Pt) [PR92-907] 70 0.06
FG
HZ
89
81
73
10.0
250
0.043

0.071

        8/10/00   47 HZ 86
80
70
4.4
330
0.046

0.074

0 1 0 0 8/11/00 1 sparrow in Queens (Woodhaven) [PR84-830] 58 0.74
TS
FG
HZ
82
75
69
2.9
050
0.030

0.078

        8/12/00 Note: Prediction #2 (emailed to 5 persons on 8/16/00)==> "There will be a lull 8/12-8/20 in terms of onsets of WNV disease" -- based on my 8/16/00 review of AirNow and weather predictions of cool weather, which usually means less ozone. This prediction worked well, however, I could have better predicted the lull if I had weather or monitor staion data. I had not yet began reviewing NYCDOH press releases. 16 1.74
FG
HZ
77
70
65
9.0
050
0.017

0.028

    2   8/13/00 2 mosqP in SI (Tottenville) [PR96-915]. Prediction #3, emailed on Aug 20: I contradicted NYT (8/8/00) quote of Ward Stone (DEC) who stated that WNV activity would "amplify" from "mid-August until Labor Day." I stated that 8/12/00 was the peak of the epidemic. I didn't foresee AirNow not portraying haze during the following days. If I had been watching the weather I might have taken into account the high temperature and haze of 8/15-8/16 and modified the prediction. 3 0.03
FG
HZ
72
68
63
14.0
040
0.019

0.029

        8/14/00
Monday
Predicting a lull for this area was risky because of the potential for belated findings and collections, brought about by the 8/11/00 smog. 5 0.62
TS
FG
69
67
63
10.0
020
0.007

0.016

0 4 9 0 8/15/00 [na] 1 captive bird in SI (West Brighton) [PR81-825]; 1 crow in Bronx (East Tremont) [PR74-812]; [na] 1 crow in SI (Midland Beach) [PR81-825]; 1 fishcrow in Manhattan (Gramercy Pk) [PR82-829]; [na, 12 mosqP, dist] 3 mosqP in SI (Clovelake); 3 in SI (Grosmere); 3 in SI (Rossville) [PR81-825] 26 0.02
DZ
FG
HZ
82
73
66
5.1
350
0.021

0.050

0 2 0 0 8/16/00 1 crow in Queens (Cambria Pk) [PR87-901]; 1 fishcrow in Brooklyn (Ft. Hamilton) [PR82-829] Note: Prediction #2 re lull in WNV activity cut short by abberative WNV activity (in terms of AirNow map correlations). These bird findings could be from 8/11-8/15 smog. However, weather report reveals haze 8/15, also 8/16/00 during 2am-9am (refinery emissions?) AirNow covers only 10am-12pm). AirNow can be grossly revised. Monitor station data indicates ozone. 57 0.05
TS
FG
HZ
85
77
65
9.1
290
0.033

0.058

0 4 0 1 8/17/00 [na] 1 Am. Kestrel in Manhattan (Washington Hts) [PR85-831]; 1 bird in Manhattan (Murray Hill) [PR85-831]; [died 8/17] 1 captive bird in Manhattan (East Harlem) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in SI (Port Richmond) [PR85-831]; [encephalitis 8/17, euthanized 8/20] 1 horse (age 26) in SI (na) [PR84-830, ST00-32] . 11 -- 76
70
60
8.7
310
0.024

0.046

1 0 4 0 8/18/00 [ill on 8/15, hospitalized on 8/18] 1 man (age 52) in SI (Graniteville) [PR84-830]; 1 mosqP in Brooklyn (Bergen Beach) [PR93-909]; 2 mosqP in Brooklyn (Marine Pk) [PR93-909] ; 1 mosqP in Brooklyn (Crown Hts) [PR112106] 42 0.28
FG
HZ
70
66
61
6.2
010
0.007

0.032

0 1 0 0 8/19/00 1 crow in SI (Clove Lakes Pk) [PR85-831] 8 -- 78
69
60
9.7
330
0.019

0.044

1 0 3 0 8/20/00 [ill 8/18, hospitalized 8/20] 1 woman (age 84) in SI (Shore Acres) [PR81-825]; [na, 12 mosqP, dist] 3 mosqP in SI (Fresh Kills) [PR81-825] Note: This WNV activity confounds the toxin theory (need NYCDOH spreadsheet and EPA monitor station data, for accuracy). It could be explained by 8/16-8/18 haze and Monday calls being previously deferred calls (gov offices closed over weekend). Though 8/20 shows no sign of haze on the hourly weather report, the daily indicates haze. [Later: EPA monitor station data gave sense to this.] 3 HZ 74
68
56
10.0
350
0.021

0.036

0 8 3 1 8/21/00
Monday
1 Canada warbler in Queens (Brookville) [PR92-907]; 1 crow in Bronx (University Hts) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in Brooklyn (Bay Ridge) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in Brooklyn (Flatbush) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in Manhattan (Gramercy Pk) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in SI (Willow Brook) [PR87-901]; 1 gull in SI, (Fresh Kills) [PR87-901]; 1 mosqP in Bronx (Rodman's Pk) [PR87-901]; 2 mosqP in SI (Rossville) [PR87-901]; 1 live wild house sparrow in Queens (Forest Park) 2 -- 76
67
57
5.5
350
0.014

0.036

0 1 0 0 8/22/00 1 crow in Queens (Neponsit) [PR87-901] 9 -- 79
69
61
4.7
220
0.038

0.074

0 4 0 0 8/23/00 1 crow in Manhattan (Central Pk) [PR91-906]; 1 crow in Manhattan (Riverside Pk) [PR91-906]; 1 crow in Manhattan (Upper West Side) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in Queens (Queensbridge) [PR101922] 23 0.01
FG
HZ
75
69
65
8.2
210
0.045

0.060

0 1 3 0 8/24/00 1 crow in Brooklyn (Howard Beach) [PR91-906]; [na] 1 mosqP in Queens (Alley Pond Pk) [PR91-906]; 2mosqP in SI (Tottenville) [PR96-915]. 95 FG
HZ
83
75
68
2.6
360
0.015

0.049

0 4 2 0 8/25/00 1 cormorant in Bronx (E. Tremont) [PR93-909]; 1 crow in Manhattan (City Hall Pk) [PR91-906]; 1 crow in Queens (Corona) [PR91-906]; 1 mosqP in SI (Grasmere) and 1 mosqP in SI (Rossville) [PR94-912]; 1 crow in Brooklyn (Bay Ridge) [PR101922] 19 --

82
73
65
2.9
050
0.026

0.056

0 1 2 0 8/26/00 1 crow in Manhattan (Roosevelt Isl) [PR91-906]; 1 mosqP in SI (Grasmere) [PR94-912]; 1 mosqP in SI (Tottenville) [PR96-915]. 38 FG
HZ
85
75
61
4.2
250
0.043

0.080

0 0 15 0 8/27/00 3 mosqP in SI (Brady Pk) [PR92-907]; 2 mosqP in SI (Clove Lake) [PR92-907]; 1 mosqP in SI (Conference House) [PR92-907]; 2 mosqP in SI (Conference Hs Pk) [PR93-909]; 1 mosqP in SI (Pleasant Plains) [PR92-907]; 1 mosqP in SI (Prince's Bay) [PR92-907]; 1 mosqP in SI (Richmond Valley); 2 mosqP in SI (Rossville); 1 mosqP in SI (Rossville) [PR93-909]; 1 mosqP in SI (Westerleigh) [PR92-907] 89 0.12
TS
FG
HZ
83
74
70
4.4
190
0.045

0.076

1 4 0 1 8/28/00
Monday
2 crow in Manhattan (Central Pk) [PR87-901]; 1 crow in Queens (St. Albans) [PR93-909]; 1 crow in SI (Clove Lakes Pk) [PR91-906]; [ill on 8/23 and hospitalized 8/28] 1 woman (age 53) in SI (Bull's Head) [PR88-902]; 1 rabbit in SI (W. Brighton) [PR101922] 95 0.22
TS
FG
HZ
80
76
72
5.8
090
0.051

0.066

0 2 1 0 8/29/00 1 crow in Queens (Breezy Pt) [PR93-909]; 1 mosqP in SI (Ft. Wadsworth); 1 bluejay in Queens (Forest Pk) [PR96-915]. 40 FG
HZ
78
74
67
8.1
080
0.026

0.053

  2     8/30/00 1 crow in Manhattan (Harlem) [PR96-915]; 1 crow in Brooklyn (Gravesend) [PR101922]. 22 0.02
FG
81
73
70
3.5
040
0.013

0.035

  1 5   8/31/00 2 mosqP in Manhattan (Central Pk); 1 mosqP in Manhattan (Upper); 1 crow in Brooklyn (Carnarsie); 2mosqP in Bronx (Van Cortlandt Pk, and Pelham Bay Pk) [PR96-915]. 63 0.0
FG
HZ
85
79
74
4.5
130
0.020

0.029

 

TS2000 June, 2000 July, 2000 August, 2000 September, 2000 October, 2000