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Published 6/2010:  Townsend Letter For Doctors


St. Francis School Flu Epidemic
West and East SUIRs, April 2009

 

Also see parent study.

 

In the airphoto below, the basic St. Francis wind scenarios are depicted in terms of west and east SUIRs, cross-lane, and no lanes.  The west SUIR is very much the most hazardous.  The lanes to the west of St. Francis are the most hazardous because 11 lanes are in alignment.  The lanes to the east are much less hazardous, as they are only six lanes in-line, the others being clover-leaf structures, and overall distances are much greater.  By a distance of 300 feet, exposure is greatly reduced, thus easterly lanes are much less hazardous (see essential concept, Zhu et al, below)  
 
Westerly, St. Francis is adjacent at approximately 30 feet to the SUIR lanes (see essential concept).  Easterly, the nearest SUIR lanes are 450-900 feet distant, which means 3 to 8 times less hazard than the westerly lanes.  The April 23rd epidemic began during early morning rush hour traffic (not portrayed in air photo).  Note that some states outlaw school locations near heavy traffic.
 
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Note below that "4/8 (1,0)" means "Month/Day (DOH Retrospective Questionaire Response, Unusual Number Sent Home)".  Note that national media drama existed during days leading to, thru and after the epidemic, 4/23.  Spring break was 4/10 to 4/17.

 

Wind Vector Studies
St. Francis Prep School, April 2010
7:30-9:30am (two 1-hour scenarios per day)
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
      4/8
(1,0)
4/9
(5,0)
4/10
(4,0)
4/11
(2,0)
     

 
     

Possible SUIR, but small angle means distant lane exposure. 

Possible SUIR but wind speed is too slow to indicate direction, which appears variable.

Diverse direction from less hazardous east side.  
     

 
      Possible SUIR, but small angle means distant lane exposure. 

Possible SUIR but wind speed is too slow to indicate direction.

Diverse direction.  
4/12 (2,0) 4/13
(2,0)
4/14
(3,0)
4/15
(4,0)
4/16
(3,0)
4/17
(3,0)
4/18
(3,0)
 

 
  Cross-lane, less hazard.

SUIR-like, but from the much less hazardous east side.

SUIR-like, but from the much less hazardous east side.

Diffuse, less hazard from east side. Diffuse, less hazard.  
 

 
  Cross-lane, diffuse direction, less hazard. SUIR-like, but from the much less hazardous east side.

SUIR-like, but from the much less hazardous east side.

SUIR-like, but from the much less hazardous east side. Diffuse, east side, less hazard.  
4/19 (4,0) 4/20
(8,0)
4/21
(20,0)
4/22
(88,0)
4/23 Sudden Epidemic
(254,102)
4/24
(116,80)
4/25
(80,na)
 

 
  No hazard. Diffuse and east side. No hazard.

SUIR for 9 hours prior and thru this hour.

Cross-lane, less hazard.

 
 

 
  No hazard. Diffuse directionality, below east side, low hazard. No hazard.

SUIR for 10 hours prior and thru this hour.  Epidemic 9:30am

Diffuse directionality, less hazard.

 

 

Comparison With NYCDOH Data

 

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Distance Versus Pollution, Zhu et al

 

This explains the effectiveness of westerly SUIRs at St. Francis.

 

 

Postulates

 

Flu and colds are not viral.  Virus is disinfo meme.  These diseases are actually various types of toxicological illness.  Summer school flu epidemics near heavy traffic are due to heavy traffic.  Winter flu epidemics are not often school related, but home related, indoor air pollution, specially being the product of gas appliance indoor air pollution, when windows are shut due to cold weather.  This can even arise from lower apartments flowing into upper appartments.  West Nile flu develops slowly, is seasonal, warm weather, and so usually is due to outdoor air pollution, vehicular and airport, etc., during summer.  Pharmaceutical, building construction, painting or other poisoning exacerbates the symptoms and severity of all these diseases.  Chart format follows.

 

Flu Type Age Group Orthodox Disinfo Causation Actual Environmental Causation
Spring/Summer School flu epidemics School age Virus, cold temperature, dirty hands, sneezing, lack of vaccination Schools and homes near expressways, etc.
Summer WNV epidemics Over 50 Senior vulnerability to virus Homes near expressways, airports, etc.
Winter colds, flu, ear-aches, meningitis, cancer, lymphoma, heart disease, etc. All ages Virus, cold temperature, dirty hands, sneezing, lack of vaccination Windows shut, seal in toxic stove exhaust or other fired appliance exhaust.  Summer version is possible with windows shut during A/C operation.

 

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©HARpub 2009, Jim West - All Rights Reserved

 

 

 


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